2024 MLS Power Rankings averages, week 10
13 sites published for week 10. Austin takes a big step forward, four teams tumble four.
13 sites published power rankings for week 10, the site Sports Club Stats appears to have gone belly up; I’ll keep checking back with it to see if they return, but for now it’s dropped. 3rd Degree is on drop watch for missing 4 updates. The Guardian will likely publish after I do, so will be updated on next week’s article.
A reminder of what Power Rankings should be (not that every site does, of course):
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
— Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. March 11, 2014.
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin
- Who Scored
- ESPN
- Massey
- Sonny Moore Rankings
- [Betting Odds] (multiple sites, see spreadsheet)
- MLS
- Simmons Ratings
- D-Ratings
- 3rd Degree - No rating Wk 7-10
- NER Discord
- Versus Sports Simulator
- Broadway Sports
- The Guardian - 2x per month
- Tom Bogert - monthly
- CONCACAF Club Rankings
You may notice the inclusion of 'analytic' sites; they serve to function as a 'control group' to others which are based on opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are 'prediction rankings' - but that also is a form of Power Ranking (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team's likely final position.
Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it. Bias ratings for every site are listed below.
I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.
- Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
- Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.
The full spreadsheet is here.
- Highest Standard Deviation: Orlando 7.34
- Lowest Standard Deviation: San Jose 0.83
- Biggest Rise: Austin up 6
- Biggest Fall: LA Galaxy, Orlando, Philadelphia, Portland down 4
AVERAGE WEEKLY POSITION
Hover over any line to highlight history.
BIAS RATINGS
No site can be perfectly on average all the time, every site will naturally have a bias for or against all teams.
Wk 10 Bias
2024 Average Bias